Batter's Box Analysis (February 5, 2004)
A whole set of studies by Robert Dudek, most of which I missed when they came out. Definitely worthwhile to take the time to read them all.
--posted by TangoTiger at 09:57 AM EDT
Posted 11:07 a.m.,
February 5, 2004
(#1) -
Rob
Here are the AL top 20 projected MPOW's for 2004(minimum of 400 PA's).
For what it's worth, 3 Jays show up on the list.
Sorry that the columns do not line up.
LAST FIRST PA MPOW
RODRIGUEZ ALEX 709 0.319
DELGADO CARLOS 679 0.285
RAMIREZ MANNY 673 0.279
PHELPS JOSH 518 0.266
LOPEZ JAVY 472 0.264
GIAMBI JASON 684 0.252
GLAUS TROY 549 0.251
ORTIZ DAVID 508 0.251
CHAVEZ ERIC 642 0.241
TEIXEIRA MARK 586 0.240
GUERRERO VLADIMIR 605 0.232
GONZALEZ JUAN 544 0.228
SORIANO ALFONSO 738 0.227
PENA CARLOS 586 0.225
FULLMER BRAD 431 0.220
NIXON TROT 549 0.220
THOMAS FRANK 646 0.219
HINSKE ERIC 566 0.217
NIX LAYNCE 520 0.207
POSADA JORGE 581 0.203
Posted 12:37 p.m.,
February 5, 2004
(#2) -
studes
(homepage)
Neat stuff. Robert is one of the best analysts/writers around. I like the Manifested Power, as well as the Kansas City Futility Score.
Posted 12:44 p.m.,
February 5, 2004
(#3) -
Al Oliver
Interesting. Josh Phelps? A leap of faith but we'll see.
Posted 1:47 p.m.,
February 5, 2004
(#4) -
tangotiger
In MGL's MLEs, he had Phelps as one of the best hitters in the minors from 01-03.
Posted 1:48 p.m.,
February 5, 2004
(#5) -
Patriot
(homepage)
Manifested Power is very similar to the nameless Power measure Jim Furtado published a long time ago. The basic difference is in the weight of the EBHs(Jim used TB-S, which is 2D+3T+4HR). See homepage
Posted 2:34 p.m.,
February 5, 2004
(#6) -
Craig B
Robert's insight there, and I think it's a valid one, is that 90% of triples are doubles to right by a fast guy, or else are misplayed doubles. It doesn't have anything to do with actual power hitting.
Posted 3:52 p.m.,
February 5, 2004
(#7) -
tangotiger
I agree that triples are speed-doubles. This is further evidenced that the rate in decline of 3b/(2b+3b) is similar to sb/(1b+bb).